Selected outcome
Miller, 45+ pts
wide spread 7–18%
16%
Miller, 45+ pts · 16%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Miller, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.2¢
- Miller, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Miller, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Miller, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Miller, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 38–49%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 49¢
- Miller, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- Miller, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Miller, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Miller, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in West Virginia's 1st District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.