Selected outcome
Capito, 38+ pts
31%
Capito, 38+ pts · 31%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Capito, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 36 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$236 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 44¢
- Capito, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 26 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
wide spread 86–98%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.5¢
- Capito, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.4¢
- Capito, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Capito, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Capito, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 34 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢
- Capito, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 38 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$257 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢
- Capito, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 40 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$291 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Capito, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.5¢ · Ask 20¢
- Capito, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 44 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
- Capito, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 46 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 9.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.