Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Openone winner

Before 2027

Selected outcome

Claude

21%

Claude · 21%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Claude
Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
21%
Open · ~$46 24h · ~$16k vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
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Gemini
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
14%
Open · ~$30 24h · ~$4,858 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
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ChatGPT
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
7%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2,494 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
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Ernie
Will Ernie be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Grok
Will Grok be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$672 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Kimi
Will Kimi be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Other
Will Other be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Qwen
Will Qwen be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$77
Volume: ~$24k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 103k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tech