Selected outcome
Russia
2%
Russia · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2031 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- China
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
31%
Open · ~$39 24h · ~$15k vol
Bid 30.2¢ · Ask 30.8¢
- United States
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
57%
Open · ~$38 24h · ~$50k vol
Bid 55.7¢ · Ask 57.4¢
- European Space Agency
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$178 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 1.3¢
- India
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$222 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 1.3¢
- Russia
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$268 vol
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2031 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.