Selected outcome
Above 10
85%
Above 10 · 85%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- national health agencies (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 30
Above 30 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
30%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$292 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 33¢
- Above 10
Above 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,587 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 15
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$925 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 73¢
- Above 20
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,801 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 51¢
- Above 25
Above 25 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$468 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 35¢
- Above 35
Above 35 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$138 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 28¢
- Above 40
Above 40 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$620 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 27¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.