Selected outcome
Event does not qualify
4%
Event does not qualify · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Microsoft Corporation Investor Events (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Sovereign Cloud
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
36%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$31 vol
wide spread 35–48%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 48¢
- Cybersecurity
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
52%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$53 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Agent 365
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 75¢
- Anthropic / Claude
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 39¢
- Autopilot
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
wide spread 36–51%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 51¢
- Azure
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$293 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- Copilot
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 90¢
- Cowork
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 57¢
- Foundry
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$170 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 69¢
- Frontier
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 81¢
- GitHub
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 76¢
- Mistral
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 27¢
- Event does not qualify
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 5¢
- NVIDIA
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 39¢
- OpenAI
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 32–45%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 45¢
- Scout
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 27¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.