Selected outcome
Below 30°F
wide spread 8–25%
11%
Below 30°F · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Below 30°F
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Markets
- Below 30°F
Will Madison fall below 30°F from issuance through Oct 31, 2026?
11%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$790 vol
wide spread 8–25%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum official hourly temperature reported by The Weather Company for Dane County Regional Airport (KMSN), Madison, WI, during From this market's issuance (its Market Open Time), inclusive, through November 1, 2026 at 12:59:59 AM EDT, inclusive, corresponding to the end of October 31, 2026 in America/Chicago. Observations before issuance do not count. is strictly below 30 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.