Selected outcome
At least 3
14%
At least 3 · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Election Commission (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 1
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
32%
Open · ~$54 24h · ~$587 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 3
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 10
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 100
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.9¢
- At least 15
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$495 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3¢
- At least 20
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 7.1¢
- At least 25
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 6.5¢
- At least 5
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$510 vol
Bid 7.1¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 50
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.2¢
- At least 75
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 4.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Elon Musk supports at least 3 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.