Selected outcome
John Thune
2%
John Thune · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- official campaign websites (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- John Thune
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 2.9¢
- Kevin Cramer
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2.9¢
- Mike Johnson
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$85 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Steve Daines
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 3¢
- Tom Cole
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Elon Musk backs a challenger to John Thune before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.