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Will Trump declare a national emergency?

Open

Executive action timing

Selected outcome

Before Dec 1, 2026

45%

Before Dec 1, 2026 · 45%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 1, 2026 ET
Resolution source
the White House (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Apr 1, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 2–98%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Dec 1, 2026?

    45%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$594 vol

    Bid 41¢ · Ask 49¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Jan 1, 2027?

    57%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$712 vol

    Bid 55¢ · Ask 59¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Nov 1, 2026?

    29%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol

    wide spread 4–37%

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 37¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,378
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,180 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 1, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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