Selected outcome
R+2 to R+3.9
4%
R+2 to R+3.9 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- University of Florida Election Lab (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- D+8 or more
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 8 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
78%
Open · ~$75 24h · ~$676 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 81¢
- R+0.1 to R+1.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between -1.9 and -0.1 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- R+2 to R+3.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between -3.9 and -2 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- D+0 to D+1.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 0 and 1.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- D+2 to D+3.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 2 and 3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- D+4 to D+5.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 4 and 5.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- D+6 to D+7.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 6 and 7.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- R+4 or more
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between -3.9 and -2 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.