Selected outcome
Before Dec 1, 2026
4%
Before Dec 1, 2026 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Nov 1, 2026
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
2%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$62 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
4%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$318 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.