Selected outcome
Tom Cotton
2%
Tom Cotton · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 20, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Steve Feinberg
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
7%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$89 vol
Bid 2.9¢ · Ask 11¢
- Dan Driscoll
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,152 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 22¢
- Bill Hagerty
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2¢
- Christopher Miller
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2¢
- Elbridge Colby
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
Ask 5.2¢
- Joni Ernst
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Keith Kellogg
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
- Mike Gallagher
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2¢
- Mike Pompeo
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 5.9¢
- Mike Rogers
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- Mike Waltz
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.4¢
- No other person
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,321 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 42¢
- Ron DeSantis
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$521 vol
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 9¢
- Tulsi Gabbard
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
- Trae Stephens
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2¢
- Wesley Hunt
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 5.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 20, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Tom Cotton, then the market resolves to Yes.