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Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?

Openone winner

Before Aug 26, 2029

Selected outcome

Baerbel Bas

6%

Baerbel Bas · 6%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Aug 26, 2029 ET
Resolution source
Der Bundeswahlleiter (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Alice Weidel

    Will Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

    48%

    Open · ~$50 24h · ~$1,432 vol

    Bid 44¢ · Ask 51¢

    Open full market view →
  • Baerbel Bas

    Will Baerbel Bas become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Felix Banaszak

    Will Felix Banaszak become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • Friedrich Merz

    Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$137 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lars Klingbeil

    Will Lars Klingbeil become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • No one

    Will No one become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$50
Volume
~$1,593
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,615 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Aug 26, 2029 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Baerbel Bas becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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