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Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?

Openone winner

HHS Secretary, Defense Secretary and FBI Director

Selected outcome

Kash Patel

24%

Kash Patel · 24%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 20, 2029 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Pete Hegseth

    Will Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office?

    47%

    Open · ~$16 24h · ~$3,238 vol

    Bid 44¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Kash Patel

    Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office?

    24%

    Open · ~$6 24h · ~$1,477 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Will Secretary of Health and Human Services be the first to leave office?

    34%

    Open · ~$3 24h · ~$2,220 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 36¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$25
Volume
~$6,935
Liquidity
—
Open int.
8,208 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 20, 2029 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the individual holding the title of Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

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