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Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Detroit

14%

Detroit · 14%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
the New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Portland

    What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

    13%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$975 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢

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  • Detroit

    What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$564 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢

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  • Chicago

    What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$747 vol

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 30¢

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  • Houston

    What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$185 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 17¢

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  • San Francisco

    What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

    18%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,079 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 20¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$1
Volume
~$3,551
Liquidity
—
Open int.
5,643 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the National Guard is deployed to Detroit after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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