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US nominal GDP growth in 2026

Open

2026

Selected outcome

Above 4.0%

95%

Above 4.0% · 95%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 28, 2027 ET
Resolution source
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 0.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 0.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.5%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 0.5%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 94¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 1.0%?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.5%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 1.5%?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 2.0%?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.5%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 2.5%?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 3.0%?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 3.5%?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 4.0%?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.5%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 4.5%?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$392 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 5.0%?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol

    Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.5%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 5.5%?

    84%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol

    Bid 79¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.0%

    Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 6.0%?

    52%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$429 vol

    Bid 47¢ · Ask 57¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$901
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,541 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 28, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2026 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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