Selected outcome
5.25% or above
44%
5.25% or above · 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.15% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.14 on Dec 31, 2026?
50%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$6,139 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 54¢
- 5.25% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.24 on Dec 31, 2026?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,911 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢
- 5.5% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.49 on Dec 31, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,455 vol
wide spread 31–50%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 50¢
- 5.75% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.74 on Dec 31, 2026?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 19¢
- 6% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.99 on Dec 31, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- 4.75% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Dec 31, 2026?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,741 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 88¢
- 5% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.99 on Dec 31, 2026?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,107 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 69¢
- 5.1% or above
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.09 on Dec 31, 2026?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,114 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 60¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.24% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.