How many states will redistrict before the midterms?

Openone winner

before the 2026 midterms

Selected outcome

Above 12

Above 12 · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2026 ET
Resolution source: legislature of the individual states (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Above 12
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be above 12 before the 2026 midterms?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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10
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 10 before the 2026 midterms?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
last
Ask 2¢
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11
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 11 before the 2026 midterms?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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12
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 12 before the 2026 midterms?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Open full market view →
8
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 8 before the 2026 midterms?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Open full market view →
9
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 9 before the 2026 midterms?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$87 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
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Below 8
Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be below 8 before the 2026 midterms?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,537 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 97¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$5,793
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 11k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2026 ET
Resolution source: legislature of the individual states (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If above 12 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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