Selected outcome
4
7%
4 · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of Management and Budget (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 2
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?
64%
Open · ~$20 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 66¢
- 3
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?
28%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$7,429 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 30¢
- 4
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$129 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 8.8¢
- 5
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 5 in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 5.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.