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Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Yes

9%

Yes · 9%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
U.S. Department of Justice Antitrust Division (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

  • Yes

    Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal before 2027?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$133
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,771 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the U.S. Department of Justice announces a fine or civil/criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia, or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, concerning the Groq licensing deal announced on December 24, 2025 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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