Selected outcome
New Zealand First
49%
New Zealand First · 49%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 15, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- ACT
Will ACT be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 50¢
- Greens
Will Greens be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 63¢
- Labour
Will Labour be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$125 vol
Bid 56¢ · Ask 65¢
- National
Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 59¢
- New Zealand First
Will New Zealand First be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 54¢
- Opportunity
Will Opportunity be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 30¢
- Te Pāti Māori
Will Te Pāti Māori be a part of the next government in New Zealand?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Mar 15, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a coalition that includes New Zealand First makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.