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Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2028

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

21%

Before Jan 1, 2027 · 21%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
OpenAI (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$18k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
24k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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