Selected outcome
The Black Ball
48%
The Black Ball · 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- The Black Ball
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
48%
Open · ~$63 24h · ~$3,248 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 48¢
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
2%
Open · ~$20 24h · ~$41 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- The Invite
Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
25%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$1,180 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢
- All of a Sudden
Will All of a Sudden win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
Ask 4¢
- Clarissa
Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Ask 4¢
- Cry to Heaven
Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Ask 4¢
- Dune: Part Three
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$102 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
- The Odyssey
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,519 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢
- Project Hail Mary
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$234 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- Saturn Return
Will Saturn Return win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Ask 4¢
- The Social Reckoning
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$295 vol
Ask 4¢
- Toy Story 5
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
Ask 4¢
- The Whisper Man
Will The Whisper Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Ask 4¢
- Wildwood
Will Wildwood win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If The Black Ball has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.