Selected outcome
D+28 to D+30.9
11%
D+28 to D+30.9 · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- University of Florida Election Lab (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- D+40 or more
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
21%
Open · ~$22 24h · ~$237 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 25¢
- D+25 to D+27.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 25 and 27.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- D+28 to D+30.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 28 and 30.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 13¢
- D+31 to D+33.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 31 and 33.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
- D+34 to D+36.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 21¢
- D+37 to D+39.9
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$488 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 27¢
- Below D+25
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below 25 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 28 and 30.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.