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How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested?

Open

As of Nov 4, 2026

Selected outcome

At least 1.6 million

12%

At least 1.6 million · 12%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 4, 2026 ET
Resolution source
University of Florida Election Lab (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 1.3 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.3 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    68%

    Open · ~$9 24h · ~$16 vol

    Bid 63¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.6 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    12%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.7 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.7 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.2 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    92%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol

    Bid 87¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.25 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.25 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    84%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$289 vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 88¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.35 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.35 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.4 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$92 vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.45 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.45 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    18%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 1.5 million

    Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$10
Volume
~$510
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,452 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 4, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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