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How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?

Open

In Sep 2026

Selected outcome

Above 0.4%

2%

Above 0.4% · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 29, 8:25 AM ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 0.2%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in September 2026?

    97%

    Open · ~$208 24h · ~$3,123 vol

    Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.3%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in September 2026?

    32%

    Open · ~$143 24h · ~$909 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.6%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.6% in September 2026?

    3%

    Open · ~$15 24h · ~$16 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.4%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.4% in September 2026?

    2%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$17 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.5%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.5% in September 2026?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.0%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in September 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol

    last

    Bid 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.1%

    Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in September 2026?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$536 vol

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$368
Volume
~$4,614
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,846 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 29, 8:25 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.4% in September 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

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