Selected outcome
5 or more
4%
5 or more · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Rospotrebnadzor (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5 or more
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026
4%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$853 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
- 2 or more
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026
3%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$215 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4¢
- 1 or more
1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$369 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during Oct 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.