Selected outcome
Before January 1, 2027
8%
Before January 1, 2027 · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- CDC (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before December 1, 2026
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$142 24h · ~$811 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Before November 1, 2026
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$133 24h · ~$851 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Before January 1, 2027
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$80 24h · ~$2,240 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.