When will P vs NP be resolved?

Open

Before 2032

Selected outcome

Before 2035

35%

Before 2035 · 35%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 7, 2027 ET
Resolution source: The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Before 2027
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
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Before 2028
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2028?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 20¢
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Before 2029
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2029?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 27¢
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Before 2030
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2030?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$261 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 27¢
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Before 2035
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2035?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 39¢
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Before 2040
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2040?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 48¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$262
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 347 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 7, 2027 ET
Resolution source: The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2035 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tech

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