Selected outcome
South Sudan
7%
South Sudan · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The Guardian (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Peru
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?
83%
Open · ~$206 24h · ~$17k vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 85¢
- Uruguay
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?
81%
Open · ~$17 24h · ~$24k vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 83¢
- Brazil
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?
15%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$89 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- USA
Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,708 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 6¢
- Argentina
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27k vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 82¢
- Jordan
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Jordan before Jan 1, 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
- Mexico
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,576 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
- Philippines
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 12¢
- Portugal
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$705 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 20¢
- South Sudan
Will Pope Leo XIV visit South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$250 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
- Ukraine
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$969 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.