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Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

Open

During Trump's term

Selected outcome

Before Jan 20, 2029

12%

Before Jan 20, 2029 · 12%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
White House (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$3,058
Liquidity
—
Open int.
12k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.

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