Selected outcome
Trump +20 or more
47%
Trump +20 or more · 47%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 15, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
- Trump +10 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
96%
Open · ~$5,939 24h · ~$5,939 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 96¢
- Trump +15 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 15 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
92%
Open · ~$5,468 24h · ~$5,508 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 92¢
- Trump +5 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
99%
Open · ~$3,028 24h · ~$3,028 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Trump +18 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 18 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
58%
Open · ~$1,302 24h · ~$1,302 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 59¢
- Trump +30 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 30 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
6%
Open · ~$616 24h · ~$616 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
- Trump +22 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
18%
Open · ~$321 24h · ~$321 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢
- Trump +25 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
7%
Open · ~$14 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
- Trump +20 or more
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 20 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
47%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$753 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 49¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 15, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 20 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.