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Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Openone winner

Before Jan 3, 2027

Selected outcome

Texas

28%

Texas · 28%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Kansas

    Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    25%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$863 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alaska

    Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,107 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Florida

    Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Georgia

    Will Georgia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$396 vol

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Iowa

    Will Iowa be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$135 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Louisiana

    Will Louisiana be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Michigan

    Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Minnesota

    Will Minnesota be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mississippi

    Will Mississippi be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$963 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Montana

    Will Montana be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$123 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • North Carolina

    Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,476 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • New Hampshire

    Will New Hampshire be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ohio

    Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • South Carolina

    Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$731 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Texas

    Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,264 vol

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Virginia

    Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$7
Volume
~$9,669
Liquidity
—
Open int.
117k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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