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Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Openone winner

Before Jan 3, 2027

Selected outcome

Iowa

5%

Iowa · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Kansas

    Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    25%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$863 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢

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  • Alaska

    Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,107 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Florida

    Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Georgia

    Will Georgia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$396 vol

    Ask 1¢

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  • Iowa

    Will Iowa be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$135 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Louisiana

    Will Louisiana be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Michigan

    Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Minnesota

    Will Minnesota be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Mississippi

    Will Mississippi be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$963 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Montana

    Will Montana be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$123 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • North Carolina

    Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,476 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • New Hampshire

    Will New Hampshire be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ohio

    Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • South Carolina

    Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$731 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Texas

    Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,264 vol

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Virginia

    Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$7
Volume
~$9,669
Liquidity
—
Open int.
117k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Iowa is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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