How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

Open

of the 435 seats up in the 2026 U.S. House elections, based on media calls

Selected outcome

At least 198

53%

At least 198 · 53%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

At least 186
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 186 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
81%
Open · ~$2,410 24h · ~$4,959 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 81¢
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At least 190
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 190 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
74%
Open · ~$1,760 24h · ~$5,964 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢
Open full market view →
At least 194
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 194 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
65%
Open · ~$1,254 24h · ~$4,027 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 65¢
Open full market view →
At least 202
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 202 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
42%
Open · ~$692 24h · ~$1,625 vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢
Open full market view →
At least 198
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 198 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
53%
Open · ~$615 24h · ~$3,997 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 53¢
Open full market view →
At least 182
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 182 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
92%
Open · ~$299 24h · ~$7,986 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 93¢
Open full market view →
At least 206
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 206 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
34%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$3,320 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 35¢
Open full market view →
At least 210
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 210 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
25%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$1,388 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 27¢
Open full market view →
At least 218
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 218 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
9%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$885 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢
Open full market view →
At least 226
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 226 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
2%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$119 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
Open full market view →
At least 230
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 230 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
3%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$80 vol
last
Ask 4¢
Open full market view →
At least 214
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 214 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,545 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
Open full market view →
At least 222
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 222 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$245 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
Open full market view →
At least 234
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 234 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$308 vol
Ask 4¢
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: ~$7,057
Volume: ~$36k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 47k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Trading
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Resolved

Elections

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