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How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

Open

of the 435 seats up in the 2026 U.S. House elections, based on media calls

Selected outcome

At least 226

2%

At least 226 · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 186

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 186 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    81%

    Open · ~$2,410 24h · ~$4,959 vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 81¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 190

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 190 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    74%

    Open · ~$1,760 24h · ~$5,964 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 194

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 194 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    65%

    Open · ~$1,254 24h · ~$4,027 vol

    Bid 64¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 202

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 202 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    42%

    Open · ~$692 24h · ~$1,625 vol

    Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 198

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 198 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    53%

    Open · ~$615 24h · ~$3,997 vol

    Bid 52¢ · Ask 53¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 182

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 182 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    92%

    Open · ~$299 24h · ~$7,986 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 93¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 206

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 206 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    34%

    Open · ~$16 24h · ~$3,320 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 210

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 210 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    25%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$1,388 vol

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 218

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 218 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    9%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$885 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 226

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 226 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    2%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$119 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 230

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 230 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    3%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$80 vol

    last

    Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 214

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 214 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,545 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 222

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 222 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$245 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 234

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 234 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$308 vol

    Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$7,057
Volume
~$36k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
47k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 226 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

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