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How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

Open

of the 35 seats up in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, based on media calls

Selected outcome

At least 21

13%

At least 21 · 13%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 18

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 18 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    43%

    Open · ~$175 24h · ~$819 vol

    Bid 41¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 17

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 17 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    60%

    Open · ~$125 24h · ~$799 vol

    Bid 58¢ · Ask 61¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 23

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 23 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    3%

    Open · ~$20 24h · ~$236 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 24

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 24 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    5%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$12 vol

    last

    Ask 5¢

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  • At least 21

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 21 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    13%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$290 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 22

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 22 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    7%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$281 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 14

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    90%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,734 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 91¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 15

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 15 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    81%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,250 vol

    Bid 79¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 16

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 16 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    73%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,530 vol

    Bid 71¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 19

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 19 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    33%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,103 vol

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 20

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 20 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    22%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,072 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 25

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 25 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol

    Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 26

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 26 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$330
Volume
~$18k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
24k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 21 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

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