Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
54%
Before Jan 1, 2028 · 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- OpenAI (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2027?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$295 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2028?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 58¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2029?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 73¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.