When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?

Open

Russian diesel imported into the U.S.

Selected outcome

Before Nov 1, 2026

5%

Before Nov 1, 2026 · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Oct 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source: The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Before Dec 1, 2026
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Dec 1, 2026?
67%
Open · ~$3,224 24h · ~$4,180 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 68¢
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Before Jan 1, 2027
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
70%
Open · ~$1,203 24h · ~$1,815 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 71¢
Open full market view →
Before Nov 1, 2026
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$196 24h · ~$429 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: ~$4,624
Volume: ~$6,424
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 15k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Oct 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source: The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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