Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Yes

6%

Yes · 6%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 8, 2027 ET
Resolution source: FRED (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

Loading price history.

Markets

Yes
Will the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 7¢
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$168
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 2,175 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 8, 2027 ET
Resolution source: FRED (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Economy