Selected outcome
Yes
6%
Yes · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 8, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
Yes
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yes
Will the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 8, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator for any monthly observation from Issuance through December 2026 is At least 0.50ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.