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How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Open

2026

Selected outcome

Above 10

4%

Above 10 · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
national health agencies (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 1

    Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

    12%

    Open · ~$18 24h · ~$3,040 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0

    Above 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

    18%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,899 vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 10

    Above 10 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,317 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2

    Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,144 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3

    Above 3 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,006 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5

    Above 5 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$901 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$18
Volume
~$14k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
54k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.

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