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US semiconductor production growth in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Above 12%

96%

Above 12% · 96%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 17, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$221 vol

    Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢

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  • Above 12%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢

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  • Above 14%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,295 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 98¢

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  • Above 16%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    84%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$111 vol

    Bid 79¢ · Ask 88¢

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  • Above 18%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    64%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$591 vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 68¢

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  • Above 20%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    37%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$162 vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 41¢

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  • Above 22%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    31%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢

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  • Above 24%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    22%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 26¢

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  • Above 8%

    How much will semiconductor production grow in the US this year?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,068 vol

    Bid 95¢ · Ask 98¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$3,676
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,563 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 17, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 12, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.

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