Which Senate races will be within 5 points?

Markets

• Texas

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  65%

  Open · ~$105 24h · ~$2,785 vol

  Bid 63¢ · Ask 67¢

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• South Carolina

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  47%

  Open · ~$80 24h · ~$1,497 vol

  Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢

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• Kansas

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  68%

  Open · ~$64 24h · ~$2,519 vol

  Bid 64¢ · Ask 71¢

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• Michigan

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  75%

  Open · ~$58 24h · ~$1,569 vol

  Bid 72¢ · Ask 77¢

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• Iowa

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  71%

  Open · ~$57 24h · ~$5,647 vol

  Bid 69¢ · Ask 72¢

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• Ohio (special)

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  62%

  Open · ~$52 24h · ~$3,020 vol

  Bid 60¢ · Ask 64¢

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• Florida (special)

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  30%

  Open · ~$16 24h · ~$765 vol

  Bid 28¢ · Ask 31¢

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• Nebraska

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  53%

  Open · ~$10 24h · ~$208 vol

  Bid 48¢ · Ask 57¢

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• North Carolina

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  18%

  Open · ~$1 24h · ~$987 vol

  Bid 16¢ · Ask 20¢

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• Alaska

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  61%

  Open · ~$0 24h · ~$753 vol

  Bid 57¢ · Ask 64¢

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• Maine

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  65%

  Open · ~$0 24h · ~$851 vol

  Bid 61¢ · Ask 69¢

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• New Hampshire

  Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

  32%

  Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol

  Bid 29¢ · Ask 34¢

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