Selected outcome
Iowa
71%
Iowa · 71%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Texas
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
65%
Open · ~$105 24h · ~$2,785 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 67¢
- South Carolina
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
47%
Open · ~$80 24h · ~$1,497 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢
- Kansas
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
68%
Open · ~$64 24h · ~$2,519 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 71¢
- Michigan
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
75%
Open · ~$58 24h · ~$1,569 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 77¢
- Iowa
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
71%
Open · ~$57 24h · ~$5,647 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 72¢
- Ohio (special)
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
62%
Open · ~$52 24h · ~$3,020 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 64¢
- Florida (special)
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
30%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$765 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 31¢
- Nebraska
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
53%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$208 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 57¢
- North Carolina
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
18%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$987 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 20¢
- Alaska
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$753 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 64¢
- Maine
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$851 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 69¢
- New Hampshire
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 34¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.