Selected outcome
John Barrasso
14%
John Barrasso · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- John Thune
Will John Thune announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
81%
Open · ~$172 24h · ~$191 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 85¢
- John Barrasso
Will John Barrasso announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 18¢
- Josh Hawley
Will Josh Hawley announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Mike Lee
Will Mike Lee announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Ron Johnson
Will Ron Johnson announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Rick Scott
Will Rick Scott announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$555 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 52¢
- Tom Cotton
Will Tom Cotton announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If John Barrasso has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.