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Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Open

the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2035

39%

Before Jan 1, 2035 · 39%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2035

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?

    39%

    Open · ~$20 24h · ~$4,325 vol

    Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2028?

    13%

    Open · ~$4 24h · ~$974 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2029?

    18%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1,257 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2030?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,423 vol

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2031

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,731 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2033

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?

    32%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,197 vol

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$25
Volume
~$13k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
22k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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