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Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Open

the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2031

28%

Before Jan 1, 2031 · 28%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2035

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?

    39%

    Open · ~$20 24h · ~$4,325 vol

    Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2028?

    13%

    Open · ~$4 24h · ~$974 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2029?

    18%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1,257 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2030?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,423 vol

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2031

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,731 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2033

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?

    32%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,197 vol

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$25
Volume
~$13k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
22k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

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