How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Above 200

2%

Above 200 · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Federal Aviation Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Above 145
How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026?
24%
Open · ~$271 24h · ~$6,414 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 25¢
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Above 150
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
8%
Open · ~$260 24h · ~$3,701 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
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Above 120
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
99%
Open · ~$198 24h · ~$42k vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
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Above 160
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
5%
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$9,258 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
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Above 140
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
76%
Open · ~$77 24h · ~$71k vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 76¢
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Above 180
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$4,047 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
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Above 170
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2,694 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
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Above 210
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,047 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Above 190
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$918 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
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Above 200
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$690 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$901
Volume: ~$142k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 263k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Federal Aviation Administration (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If SpaceX has more than 200 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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